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歐元區PPI月率

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The HCOB Eurozone Services PMI edged up to 51.0 in July 2025, rising from 50.5 in June but slightly below the preliminary estimate of 51.2. Despite this, the reading signaled the fastest growth in service sector output since March. However, incoming new work for eurozone service firms remained largely unchanged from the previous month. New export orders fell for the 26th consecutive month, though the decline was modest and the softest since April. Outstanding business continued to decrease—a trend ongoing since May 2024—accelerating slightly in July. Nonetheless, employment growth persisted, with net hiring increasing at a mild pace consistent with the prior two months. On the pricing front, input cost inflation eased to its slowest rate since October last year, while output price increases softened slightly compared to June.

Eurozone Service Sector Output Growth at Four-Month High

The HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI rose to 50.9 in July of 2025 from 50.6 in the previous month, tying the sharpest expansion in the Euro Area's private economic activity in seven months from March. The result was revised lower from initial estimates of 51, but remained slightly ahead of initial market expectations of a 50.8. The expansion was led by stronger activity for service providers (51.0 vs 50.5 in June) and a near stabilization for factories (49.8 vs 49.5), their least pessimistic result in three years. New orders at the aggregate level were marginally down in the period to nearly end 13 straight months of contraction, although output was higher in both sectors. In turn, the less pessimistic for new business drove firms to increase their staffing levels for the first time in five months. On the price front, input cost inflation eased to a five month low, driving firms to keep output charges unchanged following two months of declines.

Eurozone Private Sector Activity Revised Lower

The HCOB France Composite PMI for July 2025 was revised down to 48.6, significantly below the flash estimate of 49.6 and June’s 49.2. The reading points to a moderate yet accelerating contraction, marking the 11th straight month of downturn, driven by declines in both manufacturing (PMI at 48.2 vs 48.1) and services (48.5 vs 49.6).

French Composite PMI Revised Lower to Show Steeper Downturn

The CAC 40 index started nearly flat to around 7,635 on Tuesday, pausing after Monday’s sharp 1.1% recovery from last week’s sell-off, as market focus turned to a mixed batch of economic data. France’s industrial production surged 3.8% in June—the strongest monthly gain since July 2020—sharply beating forecasts and rebounding from May’s revised 0.7% drop. However, the services PMI was revised down to 48.5 in July, indicating the fastest contraction since April and marking an eleventh consecutive month of decline in the sector. Meanwhile, investor sentiment was supported by growing expectations of a US rate cut in September following weaker-than-expected job data. Among individual movers, Safran (2.7%), BNP Paribas (2.6%), and Schneider Electric (2.3%) led the gains, while LVMH (-0.4%), L'Oréal (-0.6%), and EssilorLuxottica (-0.4%) were among the top laggards.

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